[The following news item appears in the April 1995 edition of _Quality_Progress_, pages 11 and 14.] ACSI SCORES MIGHT RELATE TO STOCK PRICES Can you outfox Wall Street by trading stocks of companies that have seen increases in their American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) ratings? David F. Larcker, professor of accounting at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, believes it is possible to beat the market using ACSI scores. He bases this belief on preliminary results from the Swedish Customer Satisfaction Barometer (SCSB)-an index established in 1989 that was the basis for ACSI. "What you find in the Swedish index--for a small sample of companies--is that as the satisfaction numbers go up, the stock price returns of those companies also go up," Larcker explained. "This suggests that the SCSB is forward looking and provides information about the future prospects and profitability of its companies. The result indicates that SCSB is related to the real economic performance of firms." He added that the same might hold true for companies in the ACSI. Larcker said that while product or service performance, requirements, and specifications are important, ACSI measures components that are vital to the quality equation but were previously difficult to measure. "The substantial impact of quality improvement isn't in the outputs that are easy to measure, such as warranty claims and rework, but rather [in such areas as] have your customers been retained, are they satisfied, are they buying more of your product, and are new customers being attracted," he said. "Those are the big payoffs from quality programs. "Companies have tried to measure the effects of quality for a long time. I think ACSI provides an operational way to measure the less tangible benefits of quality, and that's one of its exciting features. Once companies determine how their quality programs affect their customer satisfaction index, they will be able to assess the financial consequences of their quality programs." Larcker said ACSI could have effects beyond how companies and Wall Street react to it. "When you see the CPI [Consumer Price Index] go up, that's used as a measure of inflation. However, it is difficult to measure the quality of the goods and services included in the CPI. For example, the prices people are paying for goods might go up, but they might be getting higher-quality products. So putting the ACSI quality rating into the macroeconomic models used by the Federal Reserve can provide very different signals to the policy makers, with respect to the money supply and interest rates." Jack West, ASQC chairman of the board, said that from a quality practitioner's standpoint, ACSI will help answer upper-level management questions about the value of investing in quality. "We [quality professionals] have typically asked people to make these investments based on faith, intuition, or anecdotal evidence--that investing in quality was a good thing to do," West said. "Now, with the index, we're starting to get some hard, empirical evidence that there is value to investing in quality." West believes one effect of ACSI will be the expansion of the quality practitioner's role and importance within companies. "The index allows quality professionals to have much more influence on strategy because they can help steer how a company invests discretionary resources, in terms of where the company would see the largest returns," West explained. "If product perfection was the key attribute, you'd want to steer your resources in one way. If there was another attribute, such as on-time delivery or response to customer queries, you might invest your money differently. These are elements that quality professionals can bring to the party that they didn't have before." __________________________________________________________ [Sidebar] AMERICAN CUSTOMER SATISFACTION INDEX TAKES A SLIGHT DIP New data on customer satisfaction in two service-provider sectors of the economy--retail and finance/insurance--in the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) showed a slight drop in the fourth quarter of 1994, compared to the baseline measures released in October 1994. (For a complete list of baseline scores for all sectors and industries, see Jon Brecka, "United States Scores 74.5 on ACSI," [in the] December 1994 [edition of _Quality_Progress_], p 32). In the most recent ACSI, customer satisfaction in the retail sector was down by 2.8%, and customer satisfaction in the finance/insurance sector declined by 0.8%. The overall ACSI score dropped 0.4% from 74.5 to 74.2; these scores are the average scores of the index's seven sectors, 40 industries, and 200 individual companies and. agencies. Of the four industries in the retail sector, customer satisfaction with department stores led decliners with a 5.2% tumble, followed by drop-offs in discount stores (-3.9%) and supermarkets (-2.6%). Restaurants offering fast food, pizza, and carryout saw a 1.4% increase in customer satisfaction. In the finance/insurance sector, the personal property, homeowners, and automobile insurance industry registered a decline in customer satisfaction of 6.2%. Customer satisfaction with the life insurance industry dipped 2.6% from its October 1994 baseline Satisfaction with the commercial bank industry remained unchanged. ACSI is co-sponsored by ASQC, the University of Michigan, AT&T, Genera Motors, MBNA, Milliken & Co., KPMG Peat Marwick, and U.S. Healthcare. For details about the index, contact ASQC New Product Development, 611 E Wisconsin Ave., P. O. Box 3005 Milwaukee, WI 53201-3005, 800-248 1946, (414) 272-8575. Information about becoming an ACSI corporate sponsor is also available from this department.